Contenus

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  Mapping of zones at risk in west Africa by using NGI, VCI and SNDVI from the E-Station.

  This work is carried out at the AGRHYMET Regional Centre (ARC)-CILSS as part of the African Monitoring of Environment for Sustainable Development (AMESD) project. The analysis protocol has been improved under the Monitoring of Environment for Security in Africa (MESA) project. The MESA Project has been designed on the achievements of AMESD; its overall objective is to provide African countries with access to Earth Observation data for environmental monitoring and sustainable development. The specific objective of this study is to develop an operational analysis protocol for vegetation monitoring in general and especially for crops and pastures. Three vegetation indices were used: Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Normalized Growth Index (NGI) and Standardized Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SNDVI). The analysis of these drought indices is based on taking into account the agro-climatic characteristics of the Sahelian region, the comparison of the NGI profile (per administrative unit) from year X (in progress) to the maximum NGI profiles, minimum and average of the time series data (1998 to year x-1) and evidence convergence. Six years of application of the method and validation actions carried out concluded that it is possible to determine the zones at risk (ZAR) in order to anticipate food crises.
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  Mapping of Zones At Risk (ZAR) in west Africa by using NGI, VCI and SNDVI from the E-statuib

  This work is carried out at the AGRHYMET Regional Centre (ARC)-CILSS as part of the African Monitoring of Environment for Sustainable Development (AMESD) project. The analysis protocol has been improved under the Monitoring of Environment for Security in Africa (MESA) project. The MESA Project has been designed on the achievements of AMESD; its overall objective is to provide African countries with access to Earth Observation data for environmental monitoring and sustainable development. The specific objective of this study is to develop an operational analysis protocol for vegetation monitoring in general and especially for crops and pastures. Three vegetation indices were used: Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Normalized Growth Index (NGI) and Standardized Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SNDVI). The analysis of these drought indices is based on taking into account the agro-climatic characteristics of the Sahelian region, the comparison of the NGI profile (per administrative unit) from year X (in progress) to the maximum NGI profiles, minimum and average of the time series data (1998 to year x-1) and evidence convergence. Six years of application of the method and validation actions carried out concluded that it is possible to determine the zones at risk (ZAR) in order to anticipate food crises.
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  Evaluation des ressources pastorales au sahel nigérien à l'aide des données NDVI issues de spot-vegetation et modis

  L’étude a été réalisée dans la zone pastorale du Niger, elle se propose de : tester la stabilité du modèle d’estimation de la biomasse du Ministère de l’Élevage et des Industries Animales (MEIA) du Niger ; puis de comparer les performances de l’intégrale et du maximum du NDVI de SPOT VEGETATION et eMODIS à l’aide des données réelles collectées de 2001 à 2012 par MEIA. La méthode de régression linéaire simple est utilisée pour calculer les coefficients de détermination R² et les erreurs quadratiques sur la série (RMSE), par zone bioclimatique puis année par année. Les résultats montrent des R² variant, suivant les années, de 0,52 à 0,73, de façon très significative (P<.0001). Ce coefficient de détermination est plus élevé dans les zones saharienne et nord sahélienne comparé à la zone sahélienne typique. Les RMSE annuelles varient entre 120 et 460 Kg.MS.ha-1. Les tests non paramétriques de comparaison de moyenne (Test de Wilcoxon et des signes) ne mettaient pas en évidence de différence significative entre SPOT VEGETATION et eMODIS (intégrale ou maximum). Cette possibilité d’intercomparabilité des indices provenant de différents capteurs permet aux utilisateurs d’assurer la production sans interruption avec une possibilité d’analyse convergente si l’un des deux capteurs était indisponible.
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  VALIDATION OF A HERBACEOUS BIOMASS ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR SAHELIAN RANGELANDS (BIOMASAH) IN NIGER

  This study was carried out in the pastoral zone of Niger with the aim of validating outputs of the BIOMASAH model developed by the AGRHYMET Regional Centre (ARC) relative to real data collected over the 2001-2011 period by the Ministry Livestock and Animal Industries (MEIA) of Niger. We used parametric tests (t-tests) and nonparametric tests (Wilcoxon and sign tests) for mean comparisons. A correlation analysis was performed by calculating Pearson’s r, Spearman’s ρ, Kendall’s T and Hoeffding’s D correlation coefficients. The results showed that the BIOMASAH model generally overestimated biomass (983.17 vs. 591.17 kg/ha) with a highly significant difference relative to the field findings (P <.0001). Pearson’s r (0.15), Spearman’sρ (0.22) Kendall’s T (0.13) and Hoeffding’s D (0.1) correlation coefficients were low but highly significant (p <.0001). Grazing pressure and spatiotemporal variability of rainfall helped explain the noted differences.
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  Performance of similarity analysis in the estimation of forage yields in the Sahelian zone of Niger

  The study aims to test the performance of similarity analysis in herbaceous fodder biomass estimate in the Nigerian pastoral zone, in a context of insecurity and precipitation spatiotemporal variability. It is carried out on the time series of NDVI decadal images of SPOT VEGETATION for the period from 2001 to 2012 and on fodder biomasses measured in situ during the same period. Similarity analysis compares NDVI seasonal patterns to detect similar years using three criteria: the RMSE (Root Mean squared error), the MAD (Mean absolute Deviation), and R². Exploratory statistical analyzes with bootstrap are carried out to better characterize the observations resulting from the simulation. Moreover, the analysis of the parametric and non-parametric correlations is carried out to evaluate the level of link between the simulated data and the real data. The t test and the Wilcoxon test are then carried out in order to compare the means of the actual biomasses with those obtained by the similarity analysis. At the local level, the results indicate that the R² is more efficient than the RMSE and the MAD which have almost the same performances. The results of the similarity calculated with R² can be used as a proxy to the herbaceous phytomass measured in situ, as there is no significant difference between the simulated mean and the mean measured at the 1% threshold. On the other hand, the results of the similarity calculated with the RMSE and the MAD are not exploitable. Parametric and nonparametric correlations are all significant at the 1% threshold. However, the R² are low and vary between 0.32 and 0.45. It therefore seems necessary to continue the research, as numerous studies have revealed very good links between certain indices like the FAPAR, the EVI and the LAI and the aerial phytomasse.
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  Situation pastorale au 30 Septembre 2016 : Pâturages et points d’eau

  La situation pastorale est globalement bonne voire excellente dans la partie pastorale des pays du front sahélien. La situation est caractérisée par une bonne disponibilité du fourrage vert et d’eau pour l’abreuvement du bétail . En effet, la poursuite des précipitations régulières et abondantes enregistrées dans certaines zones pendant le mois de septembre a favorisé une nette augmentation de la productivité de la végétation et un bon remplissage des mares. Toutefois, des poches de faible productivité de biomasse fourragère ont été observées par endroits en Mauritanie, au Burkina, au Mali, au Niger et au Tchad. Dans ces zones que nous pouvons considérées à risque, les conditions agro-météorologiques telles que l’installation tardive de la végétation et les pauses pluviométriques n’ont pas été favorables à la croissance et au développement de la végétation. La comparaison des rendements fourragers de l’année 2016 par rapport à 2015 indique une situation supérieure de 25 à 50 % et équivalente sur la façade atlantique et sur la moitié est du sahel. Au centre du sahel, notamment au Mali, au Burkina et au Niger la situation est moins bonne . La comparaison de la productivité par hectare par rapport aux 5 dernières années indique une situation en baisse surtout dans le sahel central et l’extrême Nord Est du Tchad .